{"id":2577,"date":"2010-01-06T11:43:21","date_gmt":"2010-01-06T02:43:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/arita.com\/ar2\/?p=672"},"modified":"2015-01-04T17:41:47","modified_gmt":"2015-01-04T08:41:47","slug":"this-time-is-different","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arita.com\/ar\/?p=2577","title":{"rendered":"This time is different"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"theContentWrap-ccc\"><p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.co.jp\/exec\/obidos\/ASIN\/0691142165\/areconote-22\/ref=nosim\/\" name=\"amazletlink\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/ecx.images-amazon.com\/images\/I\/41kGYyHU7pL._SL160_.jpg\" alt=\"This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly\" style=\"border: none;\" align=\"right\"  hspace=\"10\" \/><\/a>\u300c\u4eca\u56de\u306f\u9055\u3046\u300d\u3001\u3088\u304f\u805e\u304f\u8a00\u3044\u8a33\u306e\u6587\u53e5\u3002<br \/>\n\u7c73\u56fd\u3067IT\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u304c\u8d77\u304d\u305f10\u6570\u5e74\u524d\u3001\u300c\u7c73\u56fd\u306f\u65e5\u672c\u3068\u306f\u7570\u306a\u308a\u3001\u7d4c\u6e08\u3082\u653f\u6cbb\u3082\u3057\u3063\u304b\u308a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u3089\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u4eca\u56de\u306f\u9055\u3046\u3093\u3060\u300d\u3002\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u306e\u7c73\u56fd\u4f4f\u5b85\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u306e\u6642\u3082\u300c\u4e0d\u52d5\u7523\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u306f\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u4eca\u56de\u306f\u9055\u3046\u300d\u3002\u30b5\u30d6\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u30e0\u30ed\u30fc\u30f3\u306a\u308b\u56fd\u969b\u7684\u8a50\u6b3a\u304c\u767a\u899a\u3057\u305f\u6642\u306b\u306f\u3001\u300c\u554f\u984c\u306f\u305f\u3044\u3057\u305f\u3053\u3068\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3001\u4eca\u56de\u306f\u6050\u614c\u7684\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u300d\u3068\u4e91\u3063\u3066\u3044\u305f\u7d4c\u6e08\u5b66\u8005\u3084\u8a55\u8ad6\u5bb6\u304c\u5c71\u307b\u3069\u3044\u305f\u3002\u305d\u308c\u3089\u539a\u9854\u306a\u9023\u4e2d\u304c\u4eca\u3067\u3082\u30a6\u30e8\u30a6\u30e8\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u306f\u5225\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3082\u3001\u305d\u306e\u300c\u4eca\u56de\u306f\u9055\u3046\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u30bb\u30ea\u30d5\u304c\u79c1\u305f\u3061\u3092\u5982\u4f55\u306b\u6b3a\u304d\u3001\u305d\u3057\u3066\u8ab0\u3092\u52a9\u3051\u305f\u306e\u304b\uff1f\u3000<br \/>\n\u6628\u5e74\u4e0a\u6893\u3055\u308c\u305f\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u30cf\u30fc\u30c8\u3055\u3093\u3068\u30ed\u30b4\u30d5\u3055\u3093\u306e\u6e3e\u8eab\u306e\u8457\u4f5c\u306f\u904e\u53bb\u6570\u767e\u5e74\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u99c6\u4f7f\u3057\u3001\u5148\u306e\u30c0\u30de\u30b7\u8a00\u8449\u306b\u771f\u3063\u5411\u304b\u3089\u6311\u6226\u3002\u3044\u305a\u308c\u7ffb\u8a33\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3051\u3069\u5f85\u3061\u304d\u308c\u306a\u3044\u306e\u3067\u30b2\u30c3\u30c8\u3002\u3068\u308a\u3042\u3048\u305a\u3001\u9577\u3044\u5e8f\u6587\u3068\u7d50\u8ad6\u7ae0\u3060\u3051\u306f\u8aad\u307f\u307e\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u3084\u3063\u3071\u308a\u3060\u306a\u3041\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Carmen M. Reinhart &#038; Kenneth S. Rogoff , &#8220;THIS TIME IS DIFFERENT  Eight Centuries of Financial Folly &#8221; Princeton 2009 <!--more--><\/p>\n<p>\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb<\/p>\n<p>\u30ed\u30b4\u30d5\u3055\u3093\u3068\u3044\u3048\u3070\u3001\u30c1\u30a7\u30b9\u306e\u5929\u624d\u5c11\u5e74\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002\u305d\u306e\u5f7c\u304c\u3044\u3064\u306e\u307e\u306b\u304bIMF\u3067\u30a8\u30b3\u30ce\u30df\u30b9\u30c8\u3001\u73fe\u5728\u306f\u30cf\u30fc\u30d0\u30fc\u30c9\u306e\u6559\u6388\u3002<a href=\"http:\/\/arita.com\/ar2\/?p=632\">\u6628\u5e74\u672b\u30c0\u30a4\u30e4\u30e2\u30f3\u30c9\u8a8c\u306b\u3053\u306e\u672c\u304c\u7d39\u4ecb\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u305f<\/a>\u306e\u3067\u5e74\u660e\u3051\u306b\u6ce8\u6587\u3002\u5c4a\u3044\u305f\u306e\u306f460\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u3067915\u30b0\u30e9\u30e0\u306e\u30cf\u30fc\u30c9\u30ab\u30d0\u30fc\u3001\u91cd\u3044\u30be\u3002\u4ed8\u9332\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u304c140\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u3082\u3042\u308a\u3001\u5225\u306b\u5e8f\u6587\u304c11\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u3068\u3044\u3046\u4ee3\u7269\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8457\u8005\u3089\u306f66\u30ab\u56fd\u30fb\uff18\u4e16\u7d00\u306b\u6e21\u308b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u99c6\u4f7f\u3057\u3066\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u50b5\u52d9\u4e0d\u5c65\u884c\u3068\u9280\u884c\u6050\u614c\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u8a73\u7d30\u306b\u691c\u8a0e\u3092\u52a0\u3048\u3001\u300c\u4eca\u56de\u306f\u9055\u3046\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u30bb\u30ea\u30d5\u304c\u5982\u4f55\u306b\u511a\u3044\u3082\u306e\u304b\u3092\u660e\u3089\u304b\u306b\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u66f0\u304f\u3001\u904e\u53bb\u4e16\u754c\u7d4c\u6e08\u306f\u4f55\u5ea6\u3068\u306a\u304f\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u6a5f\u306b\u898b\u821e\u308f\u308c\u3066\u304d\u305f\u304c\u3001\u591a\u304f\u306e\u5834\u5408\u3001\u5371\u6a5f\u767a\u751f\u306e2\uff5e3\u5e74\u5f8c\u3042\u305f\u308a\u304b\u3089\u30bd\u30d6\u30ea\u30f3\u30c7\u30d5\u30a9\u30eb\u30c8\u306e\u6ce2\u304c\u62bc\u3057\u5bc4\u305b\u3066\u304d\u305f\u3068\u306e\u3053\u3068\u3002\u6628\u4eca\u306e\u30ae\u30ea\u30b7\u30a2\u3084\u6771\u6b27\u306e\u72b6\u6cc1\u306f\u305d\u306e\u524d\u54e8\u306a\u306e\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u307e\u305b\u3093\u306d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u714e\u3058\u8a70\u3081\u308c\u3070\u3001\u8457\u8005\u3089\u306e\u30e1\u30c3\u30bb\u30fc\u30b8\u306f\u5b9f\u306b\u30b7\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u3067\u3001<\/p>\n<p>We have been here before<\/p>\n<p>\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3082\u306e\u3002\u266a\u30a2\u30ab\u30b7\u30e4\u306e\u82b1\u304c\u54b2\u3044\u3066\u3044\u305f\u301c\u266a\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3088\u3046\u306a\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u304b\uff08\u308f\u304b\u308b\uff1f\uff09<\/p>\n<p>\u653f\u7b56\u7acb\u6848\u8005\u3084\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306f\u300c\u4eca\u56de\u306f\u9055\u3046\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u524d\u306b\u3001\u3053\u306e\u672c\u3067\u793a\u3057\u305f\u8a3c\u62e0\u306e\u91cd\u307f\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u53d6\u3063\u3066\u6b32\u3057\u3044\u3068\u3044\u3046\u306e\u304c\u8457\u8005\u3089\u306e\u9858\u3044\u3060\u3068\u5e8f\u6587\u306e\u6700\u5f8c\u306b\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb<br \/>\n\u30ed\u30b4\u30d5\u3055\u3093\u304c\u30c1\u30a7\u30b9\u306e\u540d\u624b\u3060\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8a71\u3092\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3089\u3001\u9023\u308c\u5408\u3044\u66f0\u304f\u300c\u305d\u306e\u4eba\u3001\u30c1\u30a7\u30b9\u304c\u672c\u696d\u306a\u306e\uff1f\u305d\u308c\u3068\u3082\u7d4c\u6e08\u5b66\u8005\uff1f\u300d\u3068\u306e\u8cea\u554f\u3002\u3042\u3042\u3001\u305d\u3046\u304b\u3001\u5f7c\u306e\u5148\u8aad\u307f\u80fd\u529b\u306f\u30c1\u30a7\u30b9\u7531\u6765\u3067\u3001\u305d\u308c\u304c\u30a8\u30b3\u30ce\u30df\u30fc\u306e\u5206\u91ce\u3067\u7e26\u6a2a\u7121\u5c3d\u306b\u767a\u63ee\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3060\u306a\u3041\u3068\u601d\u3046\u6b21\u7b2c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3055\u3066\u3055\u3066\u3001\u5f7c\u3089\u306e\u8aad\u307f\u306f\u306f\u305f\u3057\u3066\u5f53\u305f\u308b\u306e\u304b\u3069\u3046\u304b\uff1f\u3000\u8fd1\u3044\u3046\u3061\u306b\u30bd\u30d6\u30ea\u30f3\u30c7\u30d5\u30a9\u30eb\u30c8\u2026\u306f\u79c1\u3082\u5f53\u305f\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u305d\u308c\u304c\u3044\u3064\u8d77\u3053\u308b\u306e\u304b\u3002\u30ed\u30b4\u30d5\u3055\u3093\u306f2\u301c3\u5e74\u5f8c\u3068\u306e\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u7686\u3055\u3093\u3082\u3054\u6ce8\u610f\u4e0b\u3055\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u300c\u4eca\u56de\u306f\u9055\u3046\u300d\u3001\u3088\u304f\u805e\u304f\u8a00\u3044\u8a33\u306e\u6587\u53e5\u3002 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fa-arrow-right\"><\/i>\u7d9a\u304f<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11577,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2577","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-media-book-dvd-movie"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arita.com\/ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2577","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arita.com\/ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arita.com\/ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arita.com\/ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arita.com\/ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2577"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/arita.com\/ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2577\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11578,"href":"https:\/\/arita.com\/ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2577\/revisions\/11578"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arita.com\/ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/11577"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arita.com\/ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2577"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arita.com\/ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2577"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arita.com\/ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2577"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}